I only ran three tribs, the Satsop, Wynoochee, and Humptulips discharge only, and for all years available. When I read about the closure due to low flows, I went to USGS flow data ( ). I also received this from another gentleman who like me does not eat WDFW propaganda for breakfast. The massive early movement were the very fish that were modeled for the QIN to catch. Keep in mind harvest numbers do not show fish that got by the nets. Well it does not pay to do three things at once. The big unknown is the early movement being the largest I have seen validated by the fish in East county. It looks to be that Coho now are coming above forecast and Chinook not. It also supports the thought that October fish came in early and the Coho tail down with the QIN was falling behind the curve as in the last couple of years with rain. Were they in the movement so large so early? Did they hold up and this was a Coho thing? Now the Chum numbers way short and this supports the fish movement was a Coho thing the old rule is Chum will come through the bay by the 1st week of Nov even if it is a dry year. Chinook numbers look bad and this is where the guessing starts. That huge movement of fish that parked in East county plus the modeled numbers looks really good on Coho. ![]() ![]() So we all wondered what that the numbers do or do not show. QIN Chehalis numbers are up with the first three weeks all at once.
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